
AAA: Round Rock 9, Albuquerque (COL) 8 (11)
Round Rock: 13 hits, 6 walks, 10 strikeouts
Opponent: 11 hits, 6 walks, 13 strikeouts
Record: 7-7, 2 GB, 41-48 overall
SP Ryan Garcia: 2 IP, 2 H (1 HR), 2 R, 3 BB, 2 SO, 52 P / 28 S, 9.17 ERA
RP Luis Curvelo: 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 2 SO, 3.67 ERA
CF Dustin Harris: 3-6, 2B, SB (21), .256/.345/.390
DH Josh Jung: 0-6, .200/.200/.250
1B Rowdy Tellez: 2-4, HR (2), .333/.375/.800
LF Trevor Hauver: 2-4, BB, .273/.386/.421
Dustin Harris on June 3: .202/.221/.212, 0 extra-base hits
Dustin Harris since June 3: .298/.358/.532, 14 XBH
Studying the Statcast data reveals… hmm. Even during this better period, Harris’s median and 90th-percentile exit velocities are still more than two MPH below PCL averages. His upper-end velocity has barely budged compared to his earlier, power-free period. He does have a much better hard-hit rate lately (29% vs. the earlier 16%, all below the PCL average). He appears to have pushed more balls in the midrange of his velocity band up about three ticks, turning 88s into 91s, 93s into 96s.
Harris is also killing four-seam fastballs. He hit .267 with no extra bases hits against them through June 3, and since then he’s batting .459 and slugging .811, plus only three misses out of 161 swings. Overall, though, the change in Statcast data is muted compared to the huge increase in production. Keep in mind that I could be missing something, and that clubs have their own and much more detailed data which could (and probably does) contain info I’m missing.
Round Rock used eight pitchers including Craig Kimbrel and Peyton Gray for the second night in a row.
Josh Jung was 0-6, and four of his outs concluded the inning and stranded a total of six runners in scoring position.

AA: Frisco 4, at Amarillo (ARI) 1
Frisco: 8 hits, 2 walks, 7 strikeouts
Opponent: 8 hits, 1 walk, 9 strikeouts
Record: 6-10, 3 GB, 44-40 overall
SP David Davalillo: 4.2 IP, 4 H (1 HR), 1 R, 0 BB, 6 SO, 75 P / 49 S, 2.03 ERA
RP Larson Kindreich: 2.1 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 2 SO, 3.18 ERA
1B Josh Hatcher: 3-4, HR (9), .258/.283/.394
DH Keith Jones II: 2-3, BB, .222/.317/.389
In three starts, Davalillo has walked three and struck out 14 in 13.1 innings. I’d mentioned seeing him in person on a slightly off night, and that night remains the least of his three AA starts.
Sebastian Walcott is out the weekend for the Futures Game.

Hi-A: Hub City 10, @ Rome (ATL) 2
Hub City: 14 hits, 2 walks, 3 strikeouts
Opponent: 8 hits, 4 walks, 7 strikeouts
Record: 12-7, 1 G up, 43-41 overall
SP Dalton Pence: 3 IP, 4 H, 1 R, 0 BB, 1 SO, 49 P / 36 S, 1.64 ERA
RP DJ McCarty: 5 IP, 4 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 6 SO, 6.04 ERA
DH Anthony Gutierrez: 3-5, SB (31), .255/.330/.321
3B Gleider Figuereo: 2-5, HR (15), .216/.281/.392
CF Dylan Dreiling: 3-5, 2 2B, .216/.313/.348
RF Yeison Morrobel: 2-5, 3B, HR (5), .209/.277/.349
Julian Brock: 3-5, .222/.290/.314
Gutierrez is 7-for-13 with two walks and eight steals in his past three games. Since some time off for injury, Dylan Dreiling is hitting .295/.276/.307 in 23 games.

Lo-A: Hickory 4, at Lynchburg (CLE) 2 (7)
Hickory: 7 hits, 4 walks, 3 strikeouts
Opponent: 8 hits, 0 walks, 6 strikeouts
SP Garrett Horn: 3 IP, 4 H (1 HR), 2 R, 0 BB, 3 SO, 45 P / 33 S, 1.64 ERA
RP Thomas Ireland: 4 IP, 4 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 3 SO, 3.04 ERA
LF Maxton Martin: 1-3, BB, SB (10), .268/.337/.449
CF Yeremi Cabrera: 2-3, BB, .246/.361/.325
Cabrera has been consistent; his worst OBP in a single month is .341. Platoon splits weren’t an issue last year, but lefties are giving him trouble in 2025 (.119/.275/.119). I sure would love to see Yeison Morrobel go on a tear. Now in his fifth season, he’s been highly regarded at times, and he certainly looks the part but is slugging .331 in 207 full-season games, which I wouldn’t have thought possible.
Lo-A: Hickory 4, at Lynchburg (CLE) 3 (7)
Hickory: 7 hits, 1 walk, 4 strikeouts
Opponent: 9 hits, 1 walk, 8 strikeouts
Record: 15-4, 1.5 G up, 45-36 overall
SP Brooks Fowler: 5 IP, 6 H, 1 R, 1 BB, 5 SO, 66 P / 47 S, 1.42 ERA
RF Hector Osorio: 2-2, HBP, .256/.400/.360
Hickory scored everything in the 1st, capped by Pablo Guerrero’s two-run double. Adrian Rodriguez allowed two runs in the 7th but held on. The 2019 39th-rounder has an arsenal that has produced 215 strikeouts in 143 pro innings, but his current opposing OBP of .379 is actually his best of the last three seasons. He can become a free agent after the season
Today’s Starters
AAA: TBD
AA: Bratt
Hi-A: Molina
Lo-A: Scarborough
Rangers Minor League History, 2007-2024
The 11th-best season by a position player was Jurickson Profar in 2012.

For programming reasons, I can’t discuss any prior seasons. In 2012, Profar received the Elvis Andrus treatment, an assignment to AA Frisco at the age of 19 years and 44 days. After a slow first week, Profar heated up and never really cooled, embarking on a 29-game hit streak within a 49-game on-base streak, during which he batted .308/.373/.520. While he wasn’t going to match Elvis defensively at short, he reached base at slightly better rate than Andrus’s 2008 AA season and hit for much more power, providing 82 extra bases compared to Andrus’s 35 in a similar number of trips to the plate.
From there, the story got darker. Profar received a late-season call-up but would return to AAA to begin 2013, and although he spent most of that year in the Majors, he didn’t hit well. Still, 2014 was intended as his breakout, accentuated by the shocking trade of 2B Ian Kinsler to give Profar a home and bolster first in the form of Prince Fielder. It sounded good on paper (well… sort of), but at that point Profar suffered shoulder injuries that would wipe out his next two years. During 2016-2017, he played only 111 MLB games, and in September 2017 he was conspicuously not recalled from AAA, resulting in an extra year of contractual control. To my recollection, it’s the only obvious case of service-time maneuvering by the Rangers while I’ve been on the beat, and it included the arguably mitigating factor of the two years of service time he accumulated on the IL.
2018 brought the belated breakout offensively, but even then he was bouncing between short, third and first. After the season, he was shipped to the A’s for Eli White and Brock Burke (plus more) as part of a crowded three-team deal. Outside the Rangers, Profar has an OPS+ of 103 built on wild inconsistency, and he’s rated below average both in fielding and his spots on the defensive spectrum.
A click on the franchise page at Baseball Reference reveals pictures of Texas’s top 24 players measured by Wins Above Replacement. It’s a shame Profar isn’t among them. In a just world, he would have reached the list before reaching free agency. He was that promising.