Month: May 2020

The Draft, Or What’s Left Of It
Here’s everyone the Rangers signed in 2019 after the fifth round for more than $20,000:

6. SS Cody Bradford, $700,000
8. RHP John Matthews, $177,400
9. RHP Zak Kent, $155,800
11. RHP Gavin Collyer, $585,000
13. RHP Ben Anderson, $125,000
18. RHP Marc Church, $300,000
24. RHP Luke Schlitz, $125,000
27. RHP Mason Cole, $85,000
28. SS Jake Hoover, $50,000
30. RHP Anthony Hoopii-Tuionetoa, $125,000
32. RHP Michael Brewer, $375,000
33. RHP Spencer Mraz, $70,000
38. RHP Jamarcus Lang, $30,000

Okay, maybe these names don’t exactly get the blood pumping right now. Hopefully, some will in 2021. Let’s try some others:

RHP Ricky Vanasco, 2017, 15th round, $200,000
RHP Joe Barlow, 2016, 11th round, $85,000
RHP Kyle Cody, 2016, 6th round, $150,000 
C Sam Huff, 2016, 7th round, $225,000
RHP Demarcus Evans, 2015, 25th round, $100,000
RHP Tyler Phillips, 2015, 16th round, $160,000
OF Scott Heineman, 2015, 11th round, $100,000
RHP Peter Fairbanks, 2015, 9th round, $100,000
C Jose Trevino, 2014, 6th round, $200,000
RHP Keone Kela, 2012, 12th round, $100,000
RHP Jerad Eickhoff, 2011, 11th round, $150,000
RHP Kyle Hendricks, 2011, 8th round, $125,000

Next month, none of the 2020 equivalents of Sam Huff, Demarcus Evans and Kyle Hendricks will be drafted. The good news is they become free agents. The bad is that they’re subject to a maximum bonus of $20,000. Again, that group of 2019 picks probably doesn’t mean much to you, but I listed them to emphasize just how drastically this year’s format will affect the Rangers and the lives of prospective draftees.

In late March, the MLB Players Association granted owners the right to reduce the draft to either five or ten rounds and defer 90% of signing bonuses in exchange for full service time and guarantee of partial salaries should the season be cancelled. Unsurprisingly, MLB chose the less expensive option, and this week it is seeking salary discounts beyond straight pro-rations for games played. These are terrible times, and most clubs, to their credit, are trying to cut costs without cutting personnel. On the other hand, MLB does not offer windfall bonuses to players when league revenues exceed expectations, and players didn’t see a dime of the $2.58 billion MLB received for stakes in its Advanced Media unit. Gross player wages actually fell in 2018 and again in 2019. The reduction in the draft, although borne of catastrophic circumstances, dovetails nicely with MLB’s pre-COVID plan to eliminate affiliations with 40 to 42 of the 160 minor league teams outside of spring training complexes.

If you’re of the mind that more baseball is better than less, and that young athletes should be encouraged to choose baseball over other sports, this is a terrible development. In essence, MLB is outsourcing player development for all but the top tier of talent onto colleges and junior colleges. (This is great news for college baseball programs, at least the ones that survive the upcoming decimation of athletic department budgets.) MLB is also telling a number of amateurs, some of whom may be late bloomers that develop into MLB-worthy players, that they should seek employment outside of baseball.

How much do clubs save under a five-round draft? In terms of reduced draft pools, roughly $1,000,000 per team. The actual amount saved might be double that, since teams could sign late-round picks for up to $125,000 without counting against the pool. So, less than the salary of Jeff Mathis or Joely Rodriguez, although any savings are magnified under the present circumstances and could directly impact existing employment within some clubs.

In the long run, I actually like the idea of a shorter draft, say 20 rounds or even ten, if teams have a reasonable budget for signing undrafted players.

The Draft, Mock Version
(Note: all the links in this section are subscription-only.)

ESPN’s Kiley McDaniel published his first mock draft, sending Tennessee lefty Garrett Crochet to the Rangers with the 14th pick. Coincidentally, when I pretended to be the Texas GM in the ProspectsLive.com draft, I intended to pick Crochet if the far more polished lefty Reid Detmers hadn’t fallen into my lap. (McDaniels has Detmers 11th, and I’ve not seen a mock with him dropping any lower.) Even more coincidentally, McDaniels mentioned Texas as the earliest possible destination for Ohio State catcher Dillon Dingler, who I happily nabbed in the second round, 50th overall. 

In Keith Law’s new mock for The Athletic, the Rangers picked high school OF Pete Crow-Armstrong, who greatly intrigued me but would have been my selection only if Crochet, catcher Patrick Bailey and 1-2 others had already been picked. Law has Oakland selecting Dingler 26th overall.

The latest Baseball America mock also has the Rangers picking Crochet. I think BA had college catcher Patrick Bailey to Texas in its previous mock.

This year, compensation for unsigned picks extends to the third round. In a separate article, McDaniels suggests that some cash-strapped teams may aim for cost savings even beyond those already locked in by offering cut-rate bonuses to their picks. If the players sign, the teams save some money. If they don’t, the teams don’t spend a dime and book compensation picks for 2021. 

2020
The Texas League canceled its All-Star game, as have the AA Eastern League and low-A Midwest League.

As for the regular minor league season, we’re one-fifth through the schedule but no closer to actual games. I’d written a paragraph about the how, unlike MLB, the minors couldn’t subsist on fan-free games, but then I found a quote from MiLB Senior Director of Communications Jeff Lantz that sums the situation better: “We will not play in front of no fans. It’s a business-model issue, really. If they send the players to us, we have to have fans. Otherwise, everything is in the red. If we turn on the stadium lights for a game, it’s $5,000. If we don’t have any fans buying tickets and buying concessions, we don’t have a way to pay for those lights.”

Per Baseball America, seven of 33 summer amateur circuits they track have already called off 2020, including the Cape Cod League. Numerous others have announced delays. The independent professional American Association postponed its season until July. Winnipeg owner Sam Katz is more blunt: “The bottom line is there’s a strong possibility that there will not be a season.”

In the last week, the owner of the short-season Hudson Valley Renegades and the bus driver for the Myrtle Beach Pelicans have died from COVID-19.

Korea
ESPN acquired rights to the Korea Baseball Organization, which began on Tuesday. Live games begin between midnight and 4:30 AM CDT, and the network will rebroadcast them at more palatable hours. Mykbostats.com is an invaluable resource for following the league and foreign-born players. Korea’s ten teams include several ex-Rangers:

LHP Chad Bell (Hanwha) – Hanwha was 58-86 last year but don’t blame Bell, who posted a 3.50 ERA in 177 innings and didn’t allow a run in five of his final eight starts. Texas drafted Bell in 2009’s 14th round. After eight years in the organization, he became a Tiger in exchange for catcher Bobby Wilson and pitched 69 innings for Detroit across the next two seasons.

RHP Jake Brigham (Kiwoom) – Like Bell, Brigham was traded for a catcher after many years in Texas’s minors and reached MLB with a different club. Drafted in 2006’s 6th round, Brigham departed in exchange for Giovanny Soto and threw 16 innings for Atlanta in 2015. He’s beginning his fourth season in a Korean rotation after one in Japan. Brigham opened his season with 3.1 scoreless innings.

OF Jared Hoying (Hanwha) – Hoying played 512 games for AAA Round Rock and 75 for the Rangers during 2013-2017. He’s clubbed 48 homers and reached at a nifty .355 clip the past two seasons in Korea.

LHP Eric Jokisch (Kiwoom) – As you undoubtedly recall, Jokisch spent the last two months of the 2016 minor league season with Round Rock.

RHP Adrian Sampson (Lotte) – Sampson pitched the third-most innings for the Rangers last year. Texas granted his release last November to head overseas.

Since the postponed Opening Day of the MLB season, the per-capita rate of infection in the US is 110 times higher than South Korea. Lately, Texas alone is averaging more new cases per day than South Korea’s total for the last five weeks. So in that respect, I don’t see the KBO as a harbinger of baseball in the US. The countries are on very different paths.

Patterson
Texas Rangers minor league 3B Shea Patterson is also a Kansas City Chief. Once an elite recruit, the U of Michigan quarterback became the last of 337 players at this year’s NFL combine to ink a deal.

The Rangers signed Patterson after drafting him in 2018’s 39th round. Patterson has appeared briefly at spring training and with the Round Rock Express but has yet to play in any official games, nor did he play in college. Texas retains his rights.

Clase
Former Rangers reliever Emmanuel Clase was suspended 80 games for a positive test for the performance-enhancing substance Boldenone. As I understand it, 80 games means 80 honest-to-goodness games, so Clase’s suspension could stretch well into 2021.

Draft
Last week, I participated in a mock draft staged by ProspectsLive.com. I was the Texas GM, picking for the Rangers in the first three rounds. To be honest, compared to most of the other faux GMs, I was ill-suited to the task. Historically, because of time constraints, I don’t usually gear up for the draft until two weeks before, at best. I tend to internet-scout the potential first-round picks for Texas, but beyond that, I’m just reading scouting reports from Baseball America so the early-round names ring a bell when they’re announced. In 2020, recent information does not exist. Most amateurs played only a handful of games, some none at all.

All that said, here’s your new virtual Rangers:

1st round 14th overall – LHP Reid Detmers, Louisville (6.2”, 210, Age 20.9)

I didn’t even rank Detmers because I had no expectation of him being available at my spot. I don’t recall a mock draft listing him lower than 10th. Detmers isn’t the sexiest choice and will never lead a rotation, but perhaps nobody outside the absolute top tier offers a higher floor. Detmers’ fastball usually runs only in the low 90s but has good movement, and he can place it wherever he likes. He also delivers a monster curve and genuine change. He’s as polished as anyone on the board. He’ll pitch in the Majors, probably pretty well.

Others I considered: Arkansas OF Heston Kjerstad, Tennessee LHP Garrett Crochet, and NC State catcher Patrick Bailey. Kjerstad vanished two picks before mine, and I would have taken Crochet if not for Detmers. Compared to Detmers, Crochet is a taller, missile-throwing lefty with more upside and but far more reliever risk, and a shoulder malady limited him to just one appearance and three innings.

2nd round, 50th overall – C Dillon Dingler, Ohio State (6’3”, 210, Age 21.7)

I wasn’t necessarily committed to taking a catcher, but several strong candidates were available as my second pick approach. After spurning Bailey in the first, I was more inclined to take one. Catcher Austin Wells was picked before my slot, but given a choice I would have still would have selected Dingler. Wells has the better bat but isn’t assured of sticking behind the plate. He might become an effective corner outfielder. For my part, if I’m picking a catcher, I want a catcher. Dingler isn’t an elite defender but won’t fall down the defensive scale, and his aptitude with the bat is rising.

“But the Rangers already have Sam Huff!” Indeed they do. David Garcia, too. Huff is a highly regarded prospect who has yet to see his first action in AA. Nothing is assured. In a perfect world, both Huff and Dingler develop into frontline catchers. If so, I will take full responsibility as GM for having too many good catchers in the organization.

3rd round, 85th overall – RHP Markevian Hence, Pine Bluff, AR (6”1, 175, Age 17.9)

To my eye, Hence looks closer to 165. While he lacks a stout build and probably always will, he’s athletic with a clean, breezy delivery. Hence’s fastball reaches 96 and sits two ticks below. He throws a four-seamer, two-seamer, curve, slider and change. Nickname: Tink.

The real draft is still scheduled for early next month. Still to be determined are the number of rounds.

Dreams Deferred
Back in February, I’d already booked my first mid-week in May:

Wednesday 7:30 AM: Head to Frisco after dropping off daughter at school
Wednesday 11:05 AM: Watch Frisco play Midland
Wednesday evening: Attend work seminar
Thursday 11:00 AM: Join my Rangers On Deck podcast partners in the VOKAL studio
Thursday 7:05 PM: Watch Frisco play Midland