Scott Lucas

Box Scores

AAA: Round Rock 8, @ Salt Lake (LAA) 1
Round Rock: 11 hits, 2 walks, 11 strikeouts
Opponent: 7 hits, 5 walks, 8 strikeouts
Record: 24-24, 5 GB, 61-61 overall

SP Ryan Garcia: 4.2 IP, 3 H, 1 R, 4 BB, 1 HBP, 7 SO, 93 P / 58 S, 2.38 ERA
RP Owen White: 1 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 0 SO, 5.58 ERA
RP Robby Ahlstrom: 1 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 1 SO, 5.19 ERA
CF Sandro Fabian: 3-4, 2B, BB, .280/.355/.472
DH Jax Biggers: 1-4, 3B, .276/.399/.396

Ryan Garcia tied a season-high four walks but missed a few more bats than usual and avoided scary contact.

Jax Biggers hit a bases-loaded triple in the 8th. Dustin Harris remains on the active roster but out of the lineup following Wednesday’s mid-game replacement.

AA: Frisco 10, San Antonio (SDP) 4
Frisco: 11 hits, 3 walks, 12 strikeouts
Opponent: 5 hits, 4 walks, 10 strikeouts
Record: 27-22, 2 GB, 71-47 overall

SP Nick Krauth: 5.1 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 2 BB, 5 SO, 75 P / 49 S, 5.60 ERA
RP Larson Kindreich: 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 3 SO, 1.80 ERA
CF Alejandro Osuna: 3-4, 3B, HBP, .311/.395/.522
DH Josh Hatcher: 1-3, 2B, BB, HBP, SB (19), .294/.344/.429
LF Aaron Zavala: 2-4, 2 2B, BB, SB (9), .226/.336/.310

21-year-old Alejandro Osuna commenced a three-run 1st and his three-hit night with a triple. Last year in reference to Thomas Saggese, I compiled a list of Texas League hitters since 2007 in their Age 21 seasons with at least 150 plate appearances, a minimum OPS+ of 125, and a reasonable balance between the OBP and slugging components of OPS:
Kyle Blanks
Mike Moustakas
Eric Hosmer
Jose Altuve
Wil Myers
Nick Williams
Brett Phillips
Joey Gallo
Ronald Guzman
Franchy Cordero
Ramon Laureano
Yordan Alvarez
Yusniel Diaz
Gavin Lux
Bobby Witt
Miguel Vargas
Alek Thomas
Corbin Carroll
Darrell Hernaiz
Thomas Saggese

The conclusion: “Every one of these players has reached MLB with the exception of Hernaiz and Saggese, who’ve accomplished this feat this season, and many had or are having productive careers.”

Does this guarantee Osuna a Texas (or some other MLB) uniform? No, but I do believe his performance makes him one to follow. Simply put, Osuna puts the bat on the ball well, and his future is tied tightly to that. The concerns are about how quickly he’ll age out of his base-stealing ability, whether he’s suited to anything but left in the long run, and whether he’ll hit lefties (against whom he’s at least reaching base in 2024 but historically has fared poorly).

Hi-A: Hickory 3, Bowling Green (TAM) 4
Hickory: 7 hits, 2 walks, 14 strikeouts
Opponent: 6 hits, 4 walks, 18 strikeouts
Record: 27-24, 6.5 GB, 55-62 overall

SP Izack Tiger: 3.2 IP, 1 H, 2 R, 3 BB, 7 SO, 71 P / 43 S, 4.02 ERA
RP Ryan Lobus: 5 IP, 5 H, 2 R, 1 BB, 10 SO, 3.48 ERA
LF Yosy Galan: 2-4, 3B, SB (25), .184/.277/.330

Hickory struck out 18 Hot Rods in a loss. Ryan Lobus was wonderful overall but played a role in a PSA for the third-time-through-the-order penalty, surrendering a two-run triple to the 20th batter he faced.

Lo-A: Down East 2, Delmarva (BAL) 1
Down East: 3 hits, 5 walks, 10 strikeouts
Opponent: 5 hits, 4 walks, 8 strikeouts
Record: 23-24, 6.5 GB, 58-54 overall

SP Brayan Mendoza: 6 IP, 4 H, 1 R, 3 BB, 1 HBP, 4 SO, 75 P / 47 S, 2.23 ERA
RP Alberto Mota: 2 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 4 SO, 2.74 ERA
RP Joey Danielson: 1 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 0 SO, 0.00 ERA
1B Beycker Barroso: 2-3, 2B, BB, 2 SB (5), .206/.328/.383
DH Pablo Guerrero: 1-3, BB, .259/.297/.362

Down East came to bat in the 9th down 1-0 with only five baserunners to their credit. With two out and Beycker Barroso on third, Delmarva proceeded to walk three straight and then unleash a game-ending wild pitch.

Pablo Guerrero isn’t hitting nearly as well in the Carolina League as Arizona (.301/.367/.522), but he’s not alone. I’ve noticed many steep declines in production between the levels in recent years. I don’t believe Texas players suffer more than those in other organizations, although I haven’t performed a study. The combination of tougher competition and tougher hitting environment is a double whammy on young hitters.

Today’s Starters
AAA: Solomon
AA: TBA according to MiLB.com, but the game notes and advertising say Teodo
Hi-A: McCarty
Lo-A: TBA

Five Years Ago Yesterday
I was in Frisco and showed Demarcus Evans a picture of my daughter wearing his jersey, and he entered the game and struck out three straight.

Per local reports, Kumar Rocker’s next appearance will be for Round Rock (and in Round Rock, assuming a typical rest), and he’ll occupy the roster spot of Jack Leiter, who’ll return to the Majors.

Per me, I’ll be podcasting with Sean Bass of The Ticket and Michael Tepid this afternoon. Check later today at your favorite listening source.

Also, thanks so much to those who’ve donated. If you’ve mailed a check, I’ll have them deposited no later than this weekend. If you’re still interested in participating, here’s the info.

Box Scores

AAA: Round Rock 1, @ Salt Lake (LAA) 3
Round Rock: 7 hits, 1 walk, 11 strikeouts
Opponent: 6 hits, 0 walks, 5 strikeouts
Record: 22-24, 5 GB, 59-61 overall

SP Adrian Sampson: 6 IP, 5 H (2 HR), 3 R, 0 BB, 3 SO, 68 P / 45 S, 5.81 ERA
RP Marc Church: 2 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 2 SO, 3.12 ERA
2B Justin Foscue: 2-4, HR (7), .291/.440/.483

The Express completed eight innings with only 85 pitches. Unfortunately, the offense couldn’t muster a response against demoted starter Reid Detmers (7 IP, 1 R, 9 SO) or demoted reliever Hans Crouse (1 IP, 1 SO). Crouse had been pitching well, best as I can tell, but had to make way for famous ex-Ranger Johnny Cueto, who made his 2024 MLB debut with six innings and three runs for the Angels.

AA: Frisco 5, San Antonio (SDP) 3
Frisco: 5 hits, 5 walks, 7 strikeouts
Opponent: 3 hits, 3 walks, 14 strikeouts
Record: 26-22, 2 GB, 70-47 overall

SP Jake deGrom: 2 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 0 BB, 3 SO, 29 P / 21 S, 4.50 ERA
RP Mitch Bratt: 5 IP, 1 H, 2 R, 3 BB, 7 SO, 4.34 ERA
2B Cody Freeman: 1-3, HR (14), BB, .264/.323/.449
3B Keyber Rodriguez: 1-3, HR (6), HBP, .243/.292/.377
C Cooper Johnson: 1-3, HR (11), BB, .240/.348/.480

Jake deGrom’s rehab start began with a double and run-scoring single, after which he retired five straight, three with strikeouts. 12 of 18 swings against deGrom came up empty, but give the Missions credit for some solid hacks. Mitch Bratt matched a season-high three walks but was stingier in the hit column over a longer period than deGrom.

Hi-A: Hickory 5, Bowling Green (TAM) 0
Hickory: 10 hits, 2 walks, 11 strikeouts
Opponent: 3 hits, 4 walks, 15 strikeouts
Record: 27-24, 5.5 GB, 55-62 overall

SP Alejandro Rosario: 5 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 9 SO, 71 P / 53 S, 2.52 ERA
DH Sebastian Walcott: 2-4, 2 SB (22), .255/.341/.422
3B Gleider Figuereo: 1-3, HR (8), HBP, .205/.256/.397
RF Yeison Morrobel: 2-4, 2 2B, .201/.282/.291

Alejandro Rosario missed 16 bats, his most in high-A. He’s walked seven and struck out 54 for Hickory, and opponents are hitting .209/.254/.269 against him at that level vs. .200/.230/.272 in ten earlier low-A starts. That is to say, moving to a tougher level and a more hitter-friendly home park hasn’t affected him in the slightest. The start I saw in person at Fredericksburg — 4.2 IP, 7 H, 5 R — remains his worst of the year. (I was still duly impressed.)

Gleider Figuereo is the first Texas minor leaguer to reach 20 homers. Teammate Anthony Gutierrez leads the organization with 43 steals. Unfortunately, that will also be his season total, as shoulder surgery has ended his season. Gutierrez finished with a .241/.317/.315 line and one homer in 71 games. He’ll turn 20 in November, and I would expect a return to high-A (in Spartanburg) in 2024.

Hickory has won two of the first three in a must-win series against division-leading Bowling Green. Winning two of the next three would pull the deficit down to 4.5 games with 12 to play. Daunting, if not hopeless.

Lo-A: Down East 1, Delmarva (BAL) 3
Down East: 4 hits, 3 walks, 13 strikeouts
Opponent: 5 hits, 8 walks, 12 strikeouts
Record: 22-24, 6.5 GB, 57-54 overall

SP Kyle Larsen: 3.2 IP, 3 H, 1 R, 3 BB, 5 SO, 78 P / 43 S, 6.82 ERA
RP Anthony Susac: 1.1 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 1 SO, 0.00 ERA
SS Echedry Vargas: 2-4, HR (13), .282/.331/.477

Echedry Vargas moved into a tie for fourth in the Carolina League with his 13th homer. His 24 steals rank only 23rd. The Carolina League has 3.2 steals for every homer, a ratio far above any other league.

Today’s Starters
AAA: Garcia
AA: Krauth (no Scherzer)
Hi-A: Tiger
Lo-A: B. Mendoza

Five Years Ago Yesterday
3B Davis Wendzel made his pro debut with a walk in three plate appearances for the rookies. He’d been delayed by a sprained thumb.

Per multiple reports, Seattle has fired manager Scott Servias, and the Angels have extended the contract of GM Perry Minasian.

Box Scores

AAA: Round Rock 18, @ Salt Lake (LAA) 5
Round Rock: 19 hits, 7 walks, 4 strikeouts
Opponent: 10 hits, 2 walks, 14 strikeouts
Record: 23-23, 4 GB, 60-60 overall

SP Jack Leiter: 5.2 IP, 4 H (1 HR), 2 R, 1 BB, 1 HBP, 9 SO, 75 P / 55 S, 3.51 ERA
RP Grant Wolfram: 1 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 2 SO, 3.26 ERA
CF Dustin Harris: 2-3, .282/.366/.406
C Andrew Knapp: 1-5, HR (9), BB, .294/.383/.457
1B Justin Foscue: 3-6, .286/.439/.463
LF Trevor Hauver: 3-5, 2B, HR (7), .214/.322/.365
3B Jonathan Ornelas: 3-5, 2B, BB, .250/.323/.330
SS Jax Biggers: 3-5, 2 2B, BB, .276/.401/.391
2B Frainer Chavez: 2-5: 2B, .231/.302/.308

In a much more hostile environment, Jack Leiter wasn’t quite so absurdly dominant as last week but close enough to have you panting. Leiter missed 14 bats (19% of all pitches, 35% of swings) split evenly between the fastball and slider. Leiter didn’t touch 100 last last week but threw three heaters that would round up, and in general his velocity was higher. Having pitched only 3.1 innings last week, his velocity did fade toward the end last night, not exceeding 98.0 in the final two innings. Leiter didn’t allow anything off that bat above 89 MPH until the 5th. A 6th-inning homer by Jake Marisnick and an error prevented a full six innings. Pitching at altitude cuts into the induced vertical break that makes his fastball such a weapon when he’s on his game. Last week’s start was in Round Rock, and only two of his highest 20 IVB readings in the last two starts occurred last night. He still tore through a mature lineup. Video highlights.

CF Dustin Harris was pulled mid-game and is not in tonight’s lineup, although he remains on the  active roster. He did foul a ball off his foot earlier last night, He and his teammates plowed through full plates at the offensive feast and then went back for seconds and thirds.

Texas released catcher Andrew Knapp.

AA: Frisco 9, San Antonio (SDP) 3
Frisco: 12 hits, 6 walks, 5 strikeouts
Opponent: 13 hits, 5 walks, 11 strikeouts
Record: 25-22, 3 GB, 69-47 overall

SP Kumar Rocker: 4.2 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 8 SO, 72 P / 47 S, 0.46 ERA
RP Dane Acker: 2 IP, 4 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 3.24 HBP, 1 SO, 0.00 ERA
RF Alejandro Osuna: 3-5, HR (4), SB (5), .299/.381/.506
SS Max Acosta: 3-4, 2B, BB, 2 SB (24), .267/.321/.376
1B Abimelec Ortiz: 1-3, HR (10), 2 BB, .227/.311/.373
LF Aaron Zavala: 2-2, BB, .223/.334/.303

Kumar Rocker was magnificent yet again. I suppose we have the question of what level of competition is appropriate for this stage of his return from Tommy John, but ignoring that, he’s simply too good for the level. AA opposition is batting .132/.169/.191. Rocker missed 16 bats, 22% of all pitches and 44% of swings. The breaker(s), which the media crew were calling a curve and only a curve*, missed 11 bats out of 14 swings. He added a small handful of changes that were reasonably effective. The fastballs ranged from 97 to 100, with 4-5 in the triple digits. Here’s highlights, which are required viewing.

* To me, the pitch has looked like a slider more often than not, while a good number with more hop and less tail look like curves. I’ve never been fully certain whether they’re distinct or variations on a theme. Deciphering breakers in 2022 can be a tricky business. I wouldn’t be surprised if I’d missed Rocker himself describing his stuff. Maybe we’ll have Statcast guessing his pitches next time out, or at least somewhere down the line in 2024.

Hi-A: Hickory 8, Bowling Green (TAM) 4
Hickory: 8 hits, 8 walks, 11 strikeouts
Opponent: 6 hits, 3 walks, 11 strikeouts
Record: 26-24, 6.5 GB, 54-62 overall

SP Paul Bonzagni: 6 IP, 5 H, 3 R, 1 BB, 1 HBP, 5 SO, 79 P / 46 S, 2.76 ERA
RP Gavin Collyer: 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 4 SO, 3.07 ERA
SS Cam Cauley: 1-3, 2 BB, .230/.290/.401
3B Sebastian Walcott: 2-3, BB, SB (20), .252/.340/.421
1B Arturo Disla: 3-4, HR (5), .283/.362/.600

240-lb. baserunning legend Arturo Disla struck again. On first wth two out and with Sebastian Walcott at third, Disla bolted for second base. The throw easily beat him, but he effected a rundown that allowed Walcott to score first. Disla also homered. We’ll see whether power or speed is the carrying tool going forward.

Bowling Green manager Rafael Valenzuela took umbrage at a (correct, in my opinion) call of batter’s interference, was tossed, kicked dirt over the plate, and retrieved a trash receptacle from the dugout and placed it behind the plate.

Lo-A: Down East 1, Delmarva (BAL) 4
Down East: 5 hits, 0 walks, 11 strikeouts
Opponent: 9 hits, 1 walk, 13 strikeouts
Record: 22-23, 5.5 GB, 57-53 overall

SP Jose Gonzalez: 3 IP, 6 H (1 HR), 3 R, 1 BB, 3 SO, 51 P / 34 S, 2.34 ERA
RP Josh Trentadue: 3 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 6 SO, 4.48 ERA
RP Justin Sanchez: 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 3 SO, 5.92 ERA
2B Casey Cook: 3-4, 2B, .219/.297/.250

Down East has lost eight of ten since a ten-game win streak.

Today’s Starters
AAA: Sampson
AA: TBA (DeGrom)
Hi-A: Rosario
Lo-A: TBA

Five Years Ago Yesterday
I did not file a report because of work. What is it about August 22nd? Ricky Vanasco had a fine low-A debut, striking out eight in five innings and allowing one run on two hits and a walk.

Box Scores

AAA: Round Rock 6, @ Salt Lake (LAA) 9
Round Rock: 9 hits, 7 walks, 10 strikeouts
Opponent: 13 hits, 4 walks, 6 strikeouts
Record: 22-23, 5 GB, 59-60 overall

SP Chase Anderson: 4 IP, 7 H (1 HR), 5 R, 2 BB, 4 SO, 67 P / 38 S, 7.04 ERA
RP Reid Birlingmair: 2 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 1 SO, 7.00 ERA
1B Justin Foscue: 1-4, HR (6), BB, .277/.438/.445
DH Blaine Crim: 3-5, 2B, HR (13), .268/.368/.428
RF Sandro Fabian: 2-4, 2B, HR (16), BB, .275/.351/.463

Justin Foscue led off the game with a homer and squared another pitch for a sharp 393-ft. out. That second shot might have cleared a hesitating center fielder’s glove at the Dell Diamond, but with Salt Lake’s larger configuration and deeper-playing OFs, it’s an annoyingly routine out. Since returning to Round Rock, Foscue has batted .323/.469/.532 with seven extra-base hits and more walks (16) than strikeouts (10). He played first last night but has spent 13 of 17 recent games at second. I’m more inclined to think of him as a first baseman, but if he hits enough, my inclinations could be persuadable.

Blaine Crim’s 9th-inning homer carried the outfield berm.

AA: Frisco 2, San Antonio (SDP) 6
Frisco: 8 hits, 4 walks, 9 strikeouts
Opponent: 10 hits, 5 walks, 10 strikeouts
Record: 24-22, 3 GB, 68-47 overall

SP Ben Anderson: 5.2 IP, 9 H (1 HR), 5 R, 2 BB, 3 SO, 92 P / 64 S, 4.01 ERA
1B Abi Ortiz: 1-2, 2 BB, .226/.307/.365
C Cooper Johnson: 2-4, HR (10), .238/.345/.466

Texas promoted righty Kohl Drake to AA Frisco. Drake leads the organization with 131 strikeouts in 87 innings. That figure is also 12th in all of minor league ball, and everyone above him has pitched between seven and 51 additional innings. Drake isn’t quite new to the AA, having pitched once there in an April emergency start and, to be honest, looking like someone who needed to head back to Down East. Since then, he’s been outstanding, and I have no reason to expect a quick return to A ball. Drake was a 22-year-old JuCo pick in 2022’s 11th round but regarded enough to earn a modestly above-slot deal. After a bumpy 2023, he’s risen quickly and is at the age-appropriate level for essentially the first time, although age standards can be viewed more loosely with pitchers.

The announced rotation for Frisco is Kumar Rocker Wednesday, TBA Thursday (actually Jake deGrom, per the beats, and this also seems where Mitch Bratt would fit), Winston Santos Friday (listed, but preceded by Max Scherzer), and Emiliano Teodo Saturday. Frisco hasn’t announced a Sunday starter, but Drake pitched for Hickory last Sunday. If you’re in the area and haven’t visited Frisco this season, now would be the time.

Hi-A: Hickory 1, Bowling Green (TAM) 3
Hickory: 5 hits, 0 walks, 6 strikeouts
Opponent: 8 hits, 2 walks, 5 strikeouts
Record: 25-24, 7.5 GB, 53-62 overall

SP Aidan Curry: 5 IP, 4 H, 1 R, 1 BB, 3 SO, 78 P / 44 S, 6.97 ERA
DH Malcolm Moore: 1-3, HR (1), .156/.270/.313

Malcolm Moore lifted a fly to right-center for his first professional homer.

Lo-A: Down East 0, Delmarva (BAL) 6
Down East: 5 hits, 4 walks, 10 strikeouts
Opponent: 8 hits, 5 walks, 5 strikeouts
Record: 22-22, 5.5 GB, 57-52 overall

SP Thomas Ireland: 5 IP, 5 H, 4 R, 2 BB, 2 SO, 78 P / 51 S, 2.45 ERA
RP Luke Savage: 2 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 1 HBP, 2 SO, 4.46 ERA
SS Echedry Vargas: 2-4, 4 SB (24), .283/.332/.474

10 baserunners, five steals, zero runs.

Today’s Starters
AAA: Leiter
AA: Rocker
Hi-A: Bonzagni
Lo-A: TBA

Five Years Ago Yesterday
Josh Jung was 3-6 with a double in Hickory’s 9-8 win over Columbia. Daniel Robert allowed his first professional homer in his inaugural low-A outing after 14 homer-free appearances in short-season Spokane. Columbia reliever Allan Winans and catcher Hayden Senger were ejected in the 9th when they took umbrage at a call on a grounder that resulted in a hit and tying run rather than the final out.

Box Scores

AAA: Round Rock 16, Albuquerque (COL) 5
Round Rock: 18 hits, 6 walks, 10 strikeouts
Opponent: 8 hits, 5 walks, 9 strikeouts
Record: 22-22, , 59-59 overall

SP Tim Brennan: 1.2 IP, 3 H, 3 R, 3 BB, 0 SO, 56 P / 31 S, 5.83 ERA
RP Marc Church: 1 IP, 4 H, 2 R, 0 BB, 0 SO, 4.05 ERA
RP Owen White: 2 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 4 SO, 5.64 ERA
1B Blaine Crim: 1-6, HR (12), .268/.368/.428
DH Sam Huff: 2-4, HR (10), 2 BB, .239/.305/.403
RF Trevor Hauver: 3-5, 2 2B, .207/.315/.346
SS Jonathan Ornelas: 2-4, HBP, .247/.321/.326
LF Kellen Strahm: 3-4, 3B, BB, .259/.359/.333
3B Jax Biggers: 3-3, 2B, BB, .272/.395/.382

There you go, Round Rock. The PCL run average per game is 5.78. Adjusted for park, Albuquerque is 6.23. The ‘Topes were allowing 7.55 runs per game entering last night. And for a second straight night, the Express offense said “how can we make this even worse?”

Albuquerque is on pace to allow 1,144 runs, which would be 89 more than any other PCL team from 1958 to present, as best as I can tell. PCL teams do play 150 games now compared to the old schedules of 144 or 140, but the ‘Topes would also lead in runs per game allowed (currently 7.6).

Yesterday was Trevor Hauver’s first three-hit game in AAA. Part of the Joey Gallo trade, Hauver has maintained a decent walk rate but is striking out nearly a third of the time. Owen White has an opposing line of .189/.286/.432 in ten relief innings. His walk and K rates are fine, but three homers have blunted his effectiveness. He missed ten bats yesterday, a higher number than in several of his earlier starts.

AA: Frisco 8, Springfield (STL) 12
Frisco: 13 hits, 1 walk, 11 strikeouts
Opponent: 17 hits, 6 walks, 8 strikeouts
Record: 24-21, 2 GB, 68-46 overall

SP Emiliano Teodo: 4 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 4 BB, 5 SO, 68 P / 39 S, 1.75 ERA
CF Alejandro Osuna: 2-5, 2B, .299/.386/.500
2B Max Acosta: 2-5, HR (5), .264/.317/.373
RF Abi Ortiz: 3-5, .225/.303/.364

Emiliano Teodo’s night began with two doubles, after which he didn’t allow another hit, although control was an issue. Rehabbing Jake Latz surrendered five straight runners after his first out and couldn’t complete the innings. Skylar Hales (0.2 IP, 1 R), Nick Krauth (3.1 IP, 3 R), and Damian Mendoza (0.2 IP, 2 R) could only temper the onslaught.

Hi-A: Hickory 2, @ Hudson Valley (NYY) 1
Hickory: 7 hits, 4 walks, 8 strikeouts
Opponent: 6 hits, 2 walks, 15 strikeouts
Record: 25-23, 6.5 GB, 53-61 overall

SP David Davalillo: 7 IP, 6 H, 1 R, 1 BB, 10 SO, 80 P / 63 S, 2.19 ERA
RP Brayan Magdaleno: 2 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 5 SO, 0.00 ERA
SS Cam Cauley: 2-3, 3B, BB, SB (21), .229/.286/.403
1B Arturo Disla: 2-3, BB, .264/.355/.566
RF Anthony Gutierrez: 0-2, 2 BB, 2 SB (37), .241/.317/.315

David Davalillo completed the first four innings on just 29 pitches. In the 6th, he escaped a bases-loaded one-out jam, and after consecutive doubles brought the Renegades to within a run, he struck out what would be his final two batters of the night.

In the 4th, Arturo Disla singled and reached second on an error. He then scampered to third on a mishandled return throw from the catcher, allowing him to score on Yeison Morrobel’s fly to center.

Lo-A: Down East 3, @ Lynchburg (CLE) 4
Down East: 7 hits, 1 walk, 9 strikeouts
Opponent: 5 hits, 7 walks, 11 strikeouts
Record: 22-21, 4.5 GB, 57-51 overall

SP Willian Bormie: 4.1 IP, 2 H, 2 R, 4 BB, 7 SO, 88 P / 49 S, 3.46 ERA
RP Joey Danielson: 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 1 SO, 0.00 ERA
LF Antonis Macias: 2-4, 2B
DH Julian Brock: 1-3, 2B, BB, SB (7), .252/.328/.386

17th-round righty Joey Danielson had a successful pro debut. Out of a low slot, the former NDSU closer offered a snappy slider, straightforward fastball, and a couple of pitches that looked to me like hard changes.

Five Years Ago Yesterday
Poor Hickory catcher Matt Whatley took a questionable strike three in the 9th, said some magic words to the plate ump, and then walked into a pole while yelling at the ump from the dugout. Kole Enright then hit what would have been a game-tying homer had Whatley walked (to first base, not into a pole) but instead only brought the Crawdads to within a run, and they wouldn’t erase that margin. Hickory had a 33-22 second-half record, 74-47 overall, but at that point trailed by two games for a postseason spot.

Box Scores

AAA: Round Rock 13, Albuquerque (COL) 3
Round Rock: 16 hits, 7 walks, 13 strikeouts
Opponent: 9 hits, 1 walk, 14 strikeouts
Record: 21-22, 4 GB, 58-59 overall

SP Ryan Garcia: 6 IP, 6 H (1 HR), 2 R, 0 BB, 9 SO, 80 P / 52 S, 2.50 ERA
CF Dustin Harris: 2-6, 2B, SB (30), .281/.366/.404
2B Justin Foscue: 4-4, 2B, HR (5), HBP, .284/.439/.455
RF Sandro Fabian: 3-3, HR (15), 2 BB, .275/.351/.463
LF Trevor Hauver: 2-4, 2B, HR (6), BB, .199/.310/.333
SS Jax Biggers: 2-4, 2 2B, BB, .264/.389/.372

Albuquerque has the worst pitching in the league by far (even adjusting, considerably, for their park), but the Express unfortunately have the league’s worst offense. Until last night, Round Rock hadn’t posted the rec-league softball results Albuquerque deserves.

Justin Foscue had a four-hit game (video) including an unusually towering homer as opposed to his usual line drives plus an infield double. Foscue probably has 30 speed but is surprisingly adept on the bases, able to tease out an occasional extra base or steal. He’s not at the level of younger Joey Gallo, who was a 30 out of the block but 50 in second gear and upward, but neither is he a true base-clogger.

 After a leadoff homer and two doubles in the 1st, Ryan Garcia settled into a long, productive outing. He fanned the side in the 5th.

AA: Frisco 1, Springfield (STL) 4
Frisco: 7 hits, 0 walks, 14 strikeouts
Opponent: 9 hits, 2 walks, 11 strikeouts
Record: 24-20, 1 GB, 68-45 overall

SP Winston Santos: 5.2 IP, 6 H (1 HR), 3 R, 1 BB, 1 HBP, 7 SO, 88 P / 61 S, 5.23 ERA
LF Alejandro Osuna: 2-4, 2B, .295/.385/.496

Winston Santos has been homer-prone in AA, and a three-run blast in the 1st would provide the necessary offense for Springfield. Santos missed 16 bats, his most in AA, and fanned seven for the fourth time in seven starts.

Texas released catcher Scott Kapers, a 2018 17th-rounder who’d played sparingly for Frisco this season. Kapers fared best at high-A Hickory in 2022, batting .261/.321/.496 with eight homers in 37 games. He would have become a free agent at the end of this season.

Hi-A: Hickory 4, @ Hudson Valley (NYY) 2
Hickory: 5 hits, 3 walks, 7 strikeouts
Opponent: 4 hits, 2 walks, 10 strikeouts
Record: 24-23, 7.5 GB, 52-61 overall

SP Kohl Drake: 6 IP, 2 H, 1 R, 2 BB, 6 SO, 74 P / 45 S, 2.53 ERA
LF Dylan Dreiling: 1-3, 2B, BB, SB (2), .269/.424/.385
DH Malcolm Moore: 1-4, 2B, .120/.267/.200
1B Arturo Disla: 1-3, HR (4), HBP, .240/.328/.560

Malcolm Moore has been batting fourth in the lineup but has led off an inning in 11 of his 30 plate appearances. That’s just weird. That also means usual #3 hitter Sebastian Walcott has been making a ton of third outs lately. Walcott is batting .237/.302/.342 overall with Moore as a teammate, not great but not terrible, and has a lofty .389 OBP for the season with two out. I’m sure it’s just a quirk.

Dylan Dreiling has reached multiple times in five of his eight games.

The one run off Kohl Drake was unearned, and Hudson Valley had only three plate appearances with a runner in scoring position.

Lo-A: Down East 4, @ Lynchburg (CLE) 6
Down East: 6 hits, 5 walks, 10 strikeouts
Opponent: 7 hits, 4 walks, 7 strikeouts
Record: 22-20, 3.5 GB, 57-50 overall

SP Kolton Curtis: 5 IP, 6 H, 5 R, 2 BB, 6 SO, 64 P / 41 S, 2.69 ERA
C Julian Brock: 4-4, 2 2B, 3B, HR (5), .251/.326/.383

Keep your fluky cycles. Julian Brock doubled twice, tripled and homered, in that order. Brock was hitting .211/.295/.313 as of three weeks ago but is flaunting a .460/.491/.740 line with nine extra-base hits in his last 13 games. I expected last year’s eighth-rounder to hit well in low-A, and with this recent success he sports a 115 OPS+.

Today’s Starters
AAA: Brennan
AA: Teodo
Hi-A: Davalillo
Lo-A: TBA

Five Years Ago Yesterday
Low-A reliever Kelvin Gonzalez touched 100 MPH twice against Greenville. The Rangers had acquired him for international bonus money a year before, and he’d evolved into the Crawdads’ high-leverage reliever and a worthy if far-off relief prospect. He fanned 58 against just 15 walks in 45 innings. Covid and an injury delayed his next performances until mid-2022. He pitched some for high-A Hickory down the stretch, became a free agent, and hasn’t appeared in affiliated ball since.

Box Scores

AAA: Round Rock 2, Albuquerque (COL) 1
Round Rock: 9 hits, 2 walks, 5 strikeouts
Opponent: 4 hits, 2 walks, 10 strikeouts
Record: 20-22, 4.5 GB, 57-59 overall

SP Adrian Sampson: 7 IP, 4 H, 1 R, 1 BB, 8 SO, 88 P / 64 S, 5.89 ERA
RP Grant Anderson: 2 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 2 SO, 2.96 ERA
C Sam Huff: 2-4, .239/.301/.398
CF Kellen Strahm: 2-4, .220/.322/.260

Kellen Strahm’s second hit plated Sam Huff walk-off style.

Still on the 40: Grant Anderson. He’s quietly hung while the Rangers designated eight other pitchers for assignment during the season. If not for that four-homer, seven-run debacle in LA, Anderson would have a 4.90 ERA (not good) and a .225/.311/.350 opposing line and 25% strikeout rate (quite good). Anderson has already been optioned six times this season, one more than allowed in the CBA, but some of them must not count, like 1) his option before the season started, 2) his quick recall to replace an injured player in April, and/or 3) his 27th-man appearance for the doubleheader in New York. I don’t know the nuance of the new rule.

AA: Frisco 7, Springfield (STL) 5
Frisco: 8 hits, 5 walks, 7 strikeouts
Opponent: 11 hits, 5 walks, 12 strikeouts
Record: 24-19, 1 GB, 68-44 overall

SP Mitch Bratt: 2.2 IP, 7 H, 4 R, 1 BB, 4 SO, 62 P / 43 S, 5.27 ERA
RP Bryan Chi: 3.1 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 4 SO, 4.31 ERA
RP Jackson Kelley: 2 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 4 SO, 4.82 ERA
DH Abi Ortiz: 2-3, HR (9), 2 BB, .219/.299/.362
RF Luis Mieses: 2-5, 2 HR (3), .340/.352/.528
CF Daniel Mateo: 1-4, HR (4), .172/.233/.265

Luis Mieses’s second homer of the night gave the system another walk-off. Texas signed the 24-year-old in the offseason after he played out his contract with the White Sox. He had ample AA experience but until recently had been helping out in Hickory.

Finally pitching in Frisco after two AA starters on the road, Mitch Bratt couldn’t escape the 3rd. He’s allowed a bunch of singles, but his control has been fine, and opponents are slugging only .339. No cause for alarm.

Hi-A: Hickory 2, @ Hudson Valley (NYY) 3
Hickory: 5 hits, 3 walks, 9 strikeouts
Opponent: 8 hits, 1 walk, 9 strikeouts
Record: 23-23, 8 GB, 51-61 overall

SP DJ McCarty: 5.2 IP, 6 H, 2 R, 1 BB, 7 SO, 85 P / 55 S, 4.14 ERA
C Malcolm Moore: 1-2, BB, HBP, .095/.269/.143
1B Arturo Disla: 1-3, HR (3), BB, .234/.315/.511

Arturo Disla hit his 14th homer on the season, and his aggregate line is .275/.354/.447. Top pick Malcolm Moore has more HBPs (3) than walks (2) or hits (2) in seven games. As I mentioned the other day*, the primary (if not only) reason for his poor start was lack of results on balls in play.

Hickory is down eight games with 20 to play. Rays-affiliated Bowling Green (30-14) is always stacked and on the verge of posting a third .600+ winning percentage in four years in the Sally.

* Uh oh. You might not have received Thursday’s report. It’s on the site but only appears as a draft in my newsletter statistics. I don’t know how that’s possible, but in any case, if you’re interested in a pitch-by-pitch analysis of Moore, click here and scroll down to Hickory. I also covered Robby Ahlstrom’s back-to-back outings and my picks in a 2020 mock draft.

Lo-A: Down East 5, @ Lynchburg (CLE) 3
Down East: 10 hits, 5 walks, 12 strikeouts
Opponent: 7 hits, 4 walks, 12 strikeouts
Record: 22-19, 3.5 GB, 57-49 overall

SP Brayan Mendoza: 4.1 IP, 5 H, 2 R, 2 BB, 6 SO, 80 P / 50 S, 2.29 ERA
RP Victor Simeon: 3.2 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 5 SO, 1.72 ERA
SS Echedry Vargas: 3-5, 2 2B, .281/.331/.474
C Julian Brock: 3-5, 2B, .241/.318/.351
1B Ben Hartl: 1-2, 2 BB, SB (1), .455/.611/.727
LF Antonis Macias: 2-4, BB

Echedry Vargas has nine multi-hit games in his last 13 (.400/.441/.746), and four included multiple extra-base hits.  I suppose it’s possible he could see Hickory before season’s end, but probably not without someone in Hickory moving on, and staying put wouldn’t reflect poorly at all. He’s still a young 19.

Victor Simeon has stretched out to long relief lately. Last night was his longest outing in over a year. Like so many, Simeon lacks consistent control (18% BB/HBP) but is virtually unhittable at this level (.133 average, 239 slug, 39% SO).

I usually don’t print stat lines until a player has more than five game to his credit, but let’s give 2024 14th-rounder Ben Hartl some love for his first four pro games.

Today’s Starters
AAA: Garcia
AA: Santos
Hi-A: Drake
Lo-A: TBA

Five Years Ago Yesterday
“Jonathan Hernandez in long relief: 1.80 ERA in 15 IP, .184/.273/.204 opposing line, 22% SO rate. ” He threw three scoreless for Frisco in an 11-4 victory at Amarillo. His next outing would be five days later in Arlington. Last night he made his first appearance for AAA Tacoma since being outrighted, allowing a run in an inning.

My Jack Leiter video.

Leiter video from the Rangers (featuring me, taking my own video!)

Box Scores

AAA: Round Rock 3, Albuquerque (COL) 4
Round Rock: 10 hits, 3 walks, 10 strikeouts
Opponent: 8 hits, 3 walks, 13 strikeouts
Record: 19-22, 4.5 GB, 56-59 overall

SP Jack Leiter: 3.2 IP, 1 H, 1 R, 1 BB, 11 SO, 62 P / 41 S, 3.66 ERA
RP Marc Church: 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 0 SO, 3.18 ERA
RF Sandro Fabian: 2-4, HR (14), .269/.345/.451
1B Blaine Crim: 2-4, .271/.372/.422

With the caveat that I don’t maintain a list and am going from memory: Welcome to what might be the most dominant minor league pitching performance I’ve seen in person.

Jack Leiter struck out a career-high 11 batters and missed a career-high 21 bats.

He pitched only 3.2 innings.

The Isotopes drew air on 15 of their first 16 swings, and not until the 20th swing did they put a ball in play (an honest double). A wild pitch and dropped fly by LF Dustin Harris resulted in a run (which would have scored even if he’d caught it). Harris’s misplay in the 3rd afforded Leiter an opportunity to strike out the side, which he did. Indeed, every out was a strikeout. 34% of all pitches and 62% of swings were whiffs. The respective averages league-wide are 12% and 26%.

Velocity: Prior to last night, Leiter had thrown three pitches at 99.0 MPH or harder, none above 99.7. Last night, he maxed out at 100.1, threw another at 100 even, and had a total of 15 pitches at 99.0 or harder. That is to say, 15 of his 18 fastest pitches of the season occurred last night. These weren’t errant missiles, either. Nine (60%) were for strikes, six swinging. His three hardest sliders (maximum 92.0) and eight of the hardest nine on the season were also last night.

Location: Leiter’s location was close to ideal. Sliders leaned just off the inside border to righties and outside to lefties. The fastball largely avoided the lower half of the zone. He induced a couple of misses on low curves. He wasn’t perfect. In the 2nd, he temporarily slid into the bad habit of pushing everything a little too far off the glove-side edge, and Willie MacIver worked a walk after an 0-2 count. Leiter recovered to fan the next batter for the third out.

For workload management, Leiter hadn’t thrown in a real game in 19 days, so that explains the modest pitch count. We could assume that he’ll rebuild to the normal level, but another possibility is outings tailored for relief in Arlington down the stretch.

Marc Church’s rehab outings in Hickory weren’t especially encouraging, but back with the Express he was much steadier. Too steady, really, as I would have liked to have seen more than eight pitches.

Blaine Crim was rewarded with only one hit on the three balls launched at over 102 MPH, but he’s truly locked in at the moment.

AA: Frisco 8, Springfield (STL) 10
Frisco: 14 hits, 3 walks, 8 strikeouts
Opponent: 14 hits, 6 walks, 12 strikeouts
Record: 23-19, 2 GB, 67-44 overall

SP Kumar Rocker: 4 IP, 1 H, 1 R, 1 BB, 5 SO, 52 P / 36 S, 0.60 ERA
2B Max Acosta: 3-6, 2B, .266/.321/.369
1B Abi Ortiz: 2-4, BB, HBP, .215/.292/.350
LF Aaron Zavala: 2-5, HR (4), .214/.330/.298
CF Daniel Mateo: 2-5, HR (3), .170/.233/.245

I was focused on Leiter and today was a mess (sorry for the delay), so I will let Frisco’s video of Rocker speak for me and check him out myself later.

Frisco’s bullpen is improved over 2023 but not this week, as it’s already allowed 17 runs in 10.2 innings this week.

Hi-A: Hickory 0, @ Hudson Valley (NYY) 2
Hickory: 1 hit, 5 walks, 7 strikeouts
Opponent: 6 hits, 6 walks, 18 strikeouts
Record: 23-22, 7 GB, 51-60 overall

SP Izack Tiger: 3 IP, 4 H, 1 R, 3 BB, 5 SO, 69 P / 39 S, 3.75 ERA
RP Ryan Lobus: 4 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 1 HBP, 11 SO, 3.47 ERA

Ryan Lobus also struck out eleven, although he did require four whole innings to do so as opposed to Leiter’s 3.2. Try harder next time, Ryan. Sebastian Walcott awakened between strikeouts seven and eight to catch a popup. Starter Izack Tiger was ultimately effective if uneasily so, facing seven batters with runners in scoring position but allowing no hits, although one run would score.

Texas has video of Lobus.

Lo-A: Down East 9, @ Lynchburg (CLE) 10 (10)
Down East: 16 hits, 2 walks, 10 strikeouts
Opponent: 11 hits, 8 walks, 7 strikeouts
Record: 21-19, 4.5 GB, 56-49 overall

SP Kyle Larsen: 4 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 2 SO, 56 P / 34 S, 7.34 ERA
SS Echedry Vargas: 2-5, 2 2B, .276/.327/.468
C Ben Hartl: 3-4, HR (1), BB
2B Chandler Pollard: 2-5, HR (2), .249/.323/.343

Down East led 7-0 at the midpoint, but Lynchburg completed a comeback during a five-run 8th and overcame a 9-8 deficit in the 10th. Six Woodies had multiple hits including Yeremi Cabrera, Esteban Mejia, and Wady Mendez.

Today’s Starters
AAA: Sampson
AA: Bratt
Hi-A: McCarty
Lo-A: TBA

Five Years Ago Yesterday
In a 4-2 victory, lefty Joe Palumbo no-hit AAA Omaha through the 6th, and homers from Nick Solak and Eli White plus three hits from Ronald Guzman

Box Scores

AAA: Round Rock 2, Albuquerque (COL) 15
Round Rock: 8 hits, 1 walk, 8 strikeouts
Opponent: 18 hits, 7 walks, 13 strikeouts
Record: 19-21, 3.5 GB, 56-58 overall

SP Chase Anderson: 1.2 IP, 4 H (2 HR), 3 R, 1 BB, 3 SO, 51 P / 31 S, 7.36 ERA

That wasn’t pretty. The story is Robby Ahlstrom pitching on consecutive days. The Express trailed 12-1 in the 9th when he surprisingly replaced a struggling Kyle Barraclough. At that point, I’d expect catcher Matt Whatley or IF Frainyer Chavez before any other pitcher, especially one who’d pitched the night before. Ahlstrom had retired a side Tuesday on a brisk eight pitches. The results weren’t great: a walk, a softly lined single and a hard double before he could record the final out. Still, his situation is worth watching. Although I doubt anything is imminent, that the Rangers wanted to see him pitch on consecutive days is noteworthy.

AA: Frisco 6, Springfield (STL) 7
Frisco: 7 hits, 3 walks, 10 strikeouts
Opponent: 16 hits, 0 walks, 6 strikeouts
Record: 23-18, 1 GB, 67-43 overall

SP Dane Acker: 6.1 IP, 11 H (1 HR), 3 R, 0 BB, 5 SO, 86 P / 66 S, 3.32 ERA
RP Skylar Hales: 1.2 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 0 SO, 1.96 ERA
RF Josh Hatcher: 2-4, 2B, .297/.344/.432

That wasn’t pretty, either. Frisco led 6-3 in the 9th, but a couple of annoyingly soft hits, some harder ones, and CF Alejandro Osuna’s misplay of a fly resulted in four runs off Andy Rodriguez. Dane Acker threw a career-high 66 strikes but surrendered a career-high 11 hits.

Springfield’s starter was Markevian “Tink” Hence, baseball’s #51 prospect per MLB Pipeline. Hence tossed four scoreless innings with one baserunners and six strikeouts.

In 2020, I participated in a mock draft for… someone. For the life of me, I can’t find the correspondence with the organization on email or twitter. Some prospect/fantasy web publication whose name I’ve forgotten. Anyway, I cosplayed as Texas GM, picking for the Rangers in the first three rounds. My picks:

1/14. RHP Reid Detmers — I wanted Garrett Crochet, but my opposing GMs were extremely focused on velocity, and he and all the rocket arms were gone by the time I selected. I wasn’t overly enthusiastic about Detmers but reckoned he could become a #3 or #4 starter in short order, and that he did, although 2024 has been a mess. Detmers was actually selected 10th overall. If I remember correctly (maybe not), Justin Foscue was still available when I picked.

2/50. C Dillon Dingler — In real life, Dingler was the first pick in the 2nd round by Detroit and made his MLB debut three weeks ago, a little later than expected given he was drafted out of Ohio State, but catchers take time. He was batting .308/.379/.559 for AAA Toledo. I’m pretty sure nobody in the mock drafted Evan Carter.

3/86. RHP Tink Hence — Having ended up with a couple of college guys with moderate ceilings in the first two rounds, I wanted more risk and fun in the 3rd and fell in love with the skinny Arkansas youngster while doing my research. My vague recollection was a body and arm that offered projection, plus he was actually throwing four pitches. Texas picked TK Roby. Hence was taken by the Cards 63rd overall.

I drafted quite well, if I may say so. While it was great fun, and I wish I had multiple years of mocks to revisit, the amount of research needed for me to feel comfortable with my selections was considerable. I was asked to participate in 2021 but didn’t have the time.

Hi-A: Hickory 7, @ Hudson Valley (NYY) 5
Hickory: 12 hits, 3 walks, 8 strikeouts
Opponent: 7 hits, 6 walks, 10 strikeouts
Record: 23-21, 6 GB, 51-59 overall

SP Paul Bonzagni: 5.1 IP, 5 H, 2 R, 2 BB, 5 SO, 81 P / 55 S, 2.61 ERA
RP Bryan Magdaleno: 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 2 SO, 0.00 ERA
LF Dylan Dreiling: 3-5, 2B, .333/.524/.400
DH Sebastian Walcott: 1-4, BB, SB (19), .254/.344/.432
1B Quincy Scott: 3-4, .226/.324/.290
2B Theo Hardy: 2-2, HR (1), 2 BB, .400/.533/.800

2nd-round pick Dylan Dreiling is off to a fine start. At the opposite end of the spectrum is 1st-rounder Malcolm Moore, who is 1-for-19 with a walk, two HBPs, and seven strikeouts. I analyzed the pitch data and don’t see anything especially worrying. The opposing strike rate against him is only 57%, but several early favorable counts haven’t panned out. His swinging strike rate is 12% of all pitches and 32% of swings. That miss rate on swings is probably slightly high (I don’t have high-A data, but the AAA miss rate is 26%) but not alarmingly so. The primary issue is just one hit on 11 balls in play, which no professional hitter endures over the long haul. I’d categorize his start as superficially frustrating rather than concerning.

Lo-A: Down East 3, @ Lynchburg (CLE) 6
Down East: 9 hits, 7 walks, 10 strikeouts
Opponent: 7 hits, 7 walks, 13 strikeouts
Record: 21-18, 4.5 GB, 56-48 overall

SP Josh Trentadue: 3 IP, 3 H, 1 R, 0 BB, 5 SO, 44 P / 31 S, 4.70 ERA
1B Ben Hartl: 1-3, 2 BB
LF Antonis Macias: 2-4, 2 2B
RF Wady Mendez: 4-5, 2 2B, .246/.322/.325

19-year-old Antonis Macias batted .350/.519/.463 in 30 games with the rookies before joining Down East. Texas signed him in July 2022. Although listed as a catcher, 14th-rounder Ben Hartl spent about three-quarters of his time at first with Kansas.

Today’s Starters
AAA: Leiter
AA: Rocker
Hi-A: Tiger
Lo-A: TBA

Five Years Ago Yesterday
Frisco lost at Corpus Christi and would hop a bus to Amarillo for a game the next night. Trips over 500 miles were supposed to include a day off but could be approved without one on an ad hoc basis, and they were, routinely.

Down East rival Fayetteville’s pitching staff set the (then high-A) Carolina league record for strikeouts with 1,287, and the season wouldn’t end for another 20 days. Fayetteville bested its own record of 1,272 set the year before. “Fayetteville is probably going to surpass the previous record by over 200,” I wrote, and the Woodpeckers would finish with 1,476, the most ever by 204.

ESPN and MLB Pipeline updated their top-100 prospects. Sebastian Walcott is the lone Rangers entree on the Pipeline list at #38. Kiley McDaniel at ESPN rates Walcott 47th plus RHP Alejandro Rosario 93rd and RHP Kumar Rocker as a “notable riser” in the 106-150 range.

Box Scores

AAA: Round Rock 7, Albuquerque (COL) 2
Round Rock: 11 hits, 4 walks, 6 strikeouts
Opponent: 4 hits, 6 walks, 9 strikeouts
Record: 19-20, 3 GB*, 56-57 overall

SP Peter Solomon: 5.1 IP, 2 H (1 HR), 1 R, 2 BB, 8 SO, 82 P / 49 S, 7.48 ERA
RP Robby Ahlstrom: 1 IP, 0 H (1.5 HR), 0 R, 0 BB, 0 SO, 0.00 ERA
1B Justin Foscue: 2-5, .267/.442/.431
C Andrew Knapp: 1-1, HR (8), 3 BB, .292/.379/.454
DH Blaine Crim: 2-3, 2B, BB, .271/.375/.425
LF Trevor Hauver: 2-4, 2 2B, .196/.307/.316

The Rangers named Blaine Crim the minor league player of July a couple of days ago, and he’s shooting for another award. Other award winners were Mitch Bratt (starting pitcher), Grant Anderson (reliever), and Frainyer Chavez (defender).

* Sugar Land won the first-half title and leads in the second, so second-place Las Vegas would advance to the playoffs if the season ended yesterday. I’m using Round Rock’s deficit to Vegas rather than Sugar Land above.

AA: Frisco 3, Springfield (STL) 6
Frisco: 11 hits, 2 walks, 7 strikeouts
Opponent: 15 hits, 1 walk, 5 strikeouts
Record: 23-17, 1 GB, 67-42 overall

SP Ben Anderson: 7 IP, 8 H, 2 R, 0 BB, 2 SO, 91 P / 66 S, 3.75 ERA
3B Cody Freeman: 2-4, 2B, .272/.332/.458
1B Abi Ortiz: 3-4, .213/.284/.350

The Texas organization has played 434 full season games this year. How many starts have lasted seven or more innings? Answer at bottom.

Hi-A: Hickory 0, @ Hudson Valley (NYY) 13
Hickory: 2 hits, 4 walks, 12 strikeouts
Opponent: 10 hits, 9 walks, 6 strikeouts
Record: 22-21, 6 GB, 50-59 overall

SP Aidan Curry: 4.1 IP, 5 H (2 HR), 9 R, 3 BB, 4 HBP, 2 SO, 78 P / 43 S, 7.30 ERA

For the final time, or until MLB reconfigures the minors yet again, Hickory traveled to that bastion of the South Atlantic known as Fishkill, New York. I don’t mean to pick on Aidan Curry, but this outing must be chronicled in all its g(l)ory:

1st inning: out, out, hit batter, hit batter, triple
3rd inning: out, out, walk, walk, homer
5th inning: hit batter, walk, hit batter, out, grand slam

Curry walked or hit seven batters, and all would score.

Luis Ramirez replaced Curry after the grand slam, walked his first batter, then allowed a homer. He walked four more subsequent to that but managed to keep them from touching the plate. Adrian Rodriguez, perhaps the most walk-prone pitcher in the system lately, issued only one to ten batters faced and stranded him, though he did allow two runs.

Whatever hopes the Crawdads harbor for the playoffs are complicated by Bowling Green’s 27-14 record and differential of 2.8 runs per game. Hickory hosts the Hot Rods next week.

Lo-A: Down East 0, @ Lynchburg (CLE) 4
Down East: 4 hits, 2 walks, 5 strikeouts
Opponent: 6 hits, 5 walks, 8 strikeouts
Record: 21-17, 3.5 GB, 56-47 overall

SP Thomas Ireland: 4.2 IP, 3 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 1 HBP, 3 SO, 78 P / 48 S, 0.00 ERA
RP Anthony Susac: 1 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 2 SO, 0.00 ERA
C Julian Brock: 2-4, 2B, .234/.313/.344

8th-round reliever and Arizona alum Anthony Susac made his pro debut and pitched a scoreless 9th. Susac leaned on a slider that tended more downward than sweepy and a fastball for which I heard no speeds but has been clocked in the low-to-mid 90s.

Today’s Starters
AAA: C. Anderson
AA: Acker
Hi-A: Bonzagni
Lo-A: TBA

Five Years Ago Yesterday
Hans Crouse threw a season-high 87 pitches for low-A Hickory. He’d been limited by bone spurs. Crouse threw 92 for short-season Spokane in 2018 as a 20-year-old and dealt at least 82 in seven of 13 appearances. Short-season ball doesn’t exist anymore, but if it did, I think the probability of someone that age throwing 90+ pitches would about negative 200%. Low-A Down East, a higher level, has only 11 starts of at least 82 pitches (and none of 90+) in 113 games.

Crouse’s fastball was in the 92-94 range. He rebounded to a steady 94-95 for a while in Frisco in 2021, but the “upper 90s, wipeout slider” guy effectively disappeared in early 2019. His money pitch with the Angels is a 93ish sinker that doesn’t really sink but has plenty of run.

Answer
11.
AAA: Sampson, Shaun Anderson, Leiter
AA: Krauth
Hi-A: Lobus, Santos, Bratt, Bratt, Rosario
Lo-A: Davalillo